Chase Clinch Scenarios For Richmond

Chase Clinch Scenarios For Richmond: Eight spots remain in the 2009 Chase for the NASCAR Sprint Cup  and 11 drivers are mathematically in contention for securing one. Below are the clinch scenarios for Richmond, the final race before the Chase field is set:
#99-Carl Edwards is currently 105 points ahead of 13th place.
Regardless of any other driver's finish, he will clinch if he finishes:
24th or better
25th and leads at least one lap or
27th and leads most laps.
#9-Kasey Kahne is currently 96 points ahead of 13th place.
Regardless of any other driver's finish, he will clinch if he finishes:
21st or better
23rd and leads at least one lap or
24th and leads most laps.
#2-Kurt Busch is currently 95 points ahead of 13th place.
Regardless of any other driver's finish, he will clinch if he finishes:
20th or better
22nd and leads at least one lap or
24th and leads most laps.
#42-Juan Pablo Montoya is currently 88 points ahead of 13th place.
Regardless of any other driver's finish, he will clinch if he finishes:
18th or better
20th and leads at least one lap or
21st and leads the most laps.
#39-Ryan Newman is currently 81 points ahead of 13th place.
Regardless of any other driver's finish, he will clinch if he finishes:
16th or better
17th and leads at least one lap or
19th and leads the most laps.
#5-Mark Martin is currently 69 points ahead of 13th place.
Regardless of any other driver's finish, he will clinch if he finishes:
12th or better
14th and leads at least one lap or
15th and leads the most laps.
#16-Greg Biffle is currently 68 points ahead of 13th place.
Regardless of any other driver's finish, he will clinch if he finishes:
11th or better
13th and leads at least one lap or
15th and leads the most laps.
#17-Matt Kenseth is currently 20 points ahead of 13th place.
Regardless of any other driver's finish, he will clinch if he finishes:
Second and leads at least one lap.
#83-Brian Vickers currently sits 13th, 17 points ahead of #18-Kyle Busch. He would need to gain 21 points on Kenseth and stay ahead of Busch to clinch a Chase spot. Busch, 37 points behind 12th, needs to gain 17 points on Vickers and 37 points on Kenseth to clinch. #00-David Reutimann, 132 points behind Kenseth, has an outside shot at clinching. He would have to gain 133 points on Kenseth. A maximum of 161 points can be made up in a given race.(NASCAR Public Relations)(9-7-2009)


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I'd like to see Vickers in and Martin out.
Ford better get there act together soon!
Still way to many Hendrick cars heading to the Chase.

I still want to see Newman out and Vickers in... but, I hope Biffle and Kenseth have solid runs!

Yep, Kenseth and Biffle need good solid runs.
Well, between me wanting Martin out and you wanting Newman out, lets hope one of those Hendrick cars don't make it.

I believe the top-12 will stay just as it is. At least, I hope so. I don't want Vickers or Kyle Busch in.

RYAN WILL MAKE IT!!!!
so will Mark!

All year Ryan and Mark have been solid at the short tracks. Ryan & Mark have not finished outside the top ten at short tracks this year and I don't see that changing. (unless the first mechanical issue happens or someother unproventable thing happens)

I'm looking at the 17 to fall out- course I've been thinking that a long time and somehow Matts still in

Nah! Matt will be fine.
It would be funny if ALL the Hendrick cars had engine problems..... ~jinx
I really hope Vicker's gets in.

ya you jinxed it- it won't happen

That's true. I should have rooted for them .... that would jinx them for sure.

I'm so happy Shrub didn't make it..... WTG Brian!!
Poor Matt ... my fault for rooting for him.

Oh well, the main thing is Shrubby didn't make the chase!!!!!!!!!!

I'm also glad Shrub missed the Chase, but I didn't want Vickers in it either!

I NEVER would have thought Matt would be missing this year's Chase, and I am really disappointed he couldn't get in. That leaves only Jimmie Johnson as the guy to make every Chase since it has started.

Hate to see Matt out, but maybe this will allow them to do some experimenting for next season.

Congrats to Vickers...

since about race 5 I've been surprised Matt was still in the top 12

Sad that the only Ford with the WIN's didn't make the chase.

that's not the worst part- now we'll have to hear the commentators drone on forever that Jimmie is the only driver to be in the chase every year of its existance

Yikes!

Dog wrote:

that's not the worst part- now we'll have to hear the commentators drone on forever that Jimmie is the only driver to be in the chase every year of its existance

Like I'll be listening to them.....

Really Denny could say that he's been in it every year also, but he hasn't been around for all chase years

What Vickers and the 83 team have done in 2 years is nothing short of amazing. From starting from scratch with a brand new team, new manufacturer, and all those races missed in their first year, to making the Chase this year and winning a race. Great job.

2 2/3 years really the R& D before hand would probably make it three or more

roosterrage wrote:

What Vickers and the 83 team have done in 2 years is nothing short of amazing. From starting from scratch with a brand new team, new manufacturer, and all those races missed in their first year, to making the Chase this year and winning a race. Great job.

I agree. That team has been improving by leaps and bounds in the short time they've been in the sport.

Even in their first year, when Brian made the race, he was usually fast. It's good to see it paying off for Brian.

It would certainly be better if BOTH of the original Red Bull drivers were having success together, but no... their idiot head office in another continent had to spoil it.

Now with me not caring much for Vickers and not being able to stand Scott Speed, there's no reason for me to pull for Red Bull.

I also wish that Allmendinger was still on the team... that was a bonehead move by the head people over in Germany.

While I can't stand Scott Speed either, I do like Vickers, and I'm glad to see him doing well.